Cheltenham Open Meeting Trainer Statistics
There have been no fewer than 1123 runners in the 95 races to have taken place at the November, open meeting at Cheltenham since 2011, and we have collated the records of each of the best and worst trainers for the three days meeting.
One trainer has had no success from 29 runners at the meeting and is joined by a further 5 trainers, for a total of 119 runners between them without a single winner. I will divulge that detail shortly
In the meantime, before anyone gets carried away with local trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies who generally has a pretty good record at the course, and often leaves with at least one winner, might want to reconsider given he has had just 3 winners from 57 runners at this meeting since 2011. perhaps leave things till later in the season to put your money on Nigel.
When is the Cheltenham Open Meeting?The Open meeting takes place between Friday 17th November and Sunday 19th November in 2017. I is the first meeting of the season at Cheltenham and often sees seasonal debut for some runners looking to freshen up for bigger targets soon or further in the future. The big trainers tend not to have so much success at this meeting from fewer entries and the statistics are telling. It's not a meeting to go looking for Willie Mullins or Nicky Henderson winners, that's for sure, but we have collated some statistics here on trainers, who might have better or worse records than you might expect at the meeting in the past few years. Nicky Henderson for example, has only a 12% strike rate from his runners at this meeting, showing a hefty -31pt loss from just 7 winners from 56 runners over the past 6 years.
Trainers to avoid at Cheltenham
As mentioned, when looking at trainer statistics at Chelteham for this open meeting, the following 6 trainers [runners in brackets], have not had a single winner between them since 2011
- Even Williams 
- Tim Vaugan 
- Charlie Lingsdon 
- Rebecca Curtis 
- Gordon Elliot 
- Venetia Williams 
Irish trainers do not send many runners to Cheltenham at this time of year but it is still with some surprise we see Gordon Elliot winless from 13 in the cold list. Things have changed a bit since last year though, and we know what an incredible season he had last year both in Ireland and at the Chelteham festival in March. He may be one to reconsider on a runner by runner basis. Sometimes statistics can be misleading.
Who are the Trainers to follow at Cheltenham?
David Pipe and Phillip Hobbs have both had 13 winners in the past 6 years at this meeting, Pipe from 77 runners for a 16% strike rate, and Hobbs slightly better with 24% from 53 runners. Both show healthy level stakes profit too, at 38 and 25 points respectively, for a combined profit of £63.96 to £1 stakes had you backed them all!
An even better strike rate has been achieved by Harry Fry with better than 1 in 3 of his runers winning, although the sample is much smaller with 3 winners from just 8 runners, for a 7 point profit.
Paul Nicholls weighs in with 11 winners, but from a huge 81 runners, he has only a 13% strike rate and a string that is not as strong as it was at the start of the analaysis period. Colin Tizzard too, shows profit from 4 winners from 26 runners, £8 to £1 stakes
- David Pipe 77 runners, 13 winners £38.13 to £1 stakes
- Philip Hobbs, 53/13 £25.83
- Paul Nicholls, 81/11 £4.35
- Colin Tizzard 26/4 £8.14
- Harry Fry 8/3 £7.00
We hope this statistics guide can help you narrow down your fields and find a winner or two for the Cheltenham Open meeting in mid November - Good luck, and please leave us a comment on your fancies for the weekend.