The Galway Hurdle is the biggest hurdle race run over the 7 day long Galway Festival and will be run over 2 miles, with 9 hurdles being jumped.
 
In 2015, the winner picked up over €130,000 and the total prize fund was over €220,000.
 
I have looked at the last 10 runnings of the race to see if any trends looked at could help us in our quest for the winner.
 
The trends i have looked at are
  1. Age
  2. Weight
  3. Official Rating
  4. Last Time Out
  5. Last Run 
  6. Year
  7. Wins 
  8. Distance

5 day Galway Hurdle declarations - 

  • 0-4611    Bamako Moriviere(26)      5    11-10    W P Mullins 148
  • 133/1-    Quick Jack(85F)      7    11-10    A J Martin 148
  • 4/121-    Superb Story(132)      5    11-7    Dan Skelton 145
  • 2/313-    Clondaw Warrior(40F)      9    11-5    W P Mullins 143
  • 4F/72-    Max Dynamite(42F)      6    11-3    W P Mullins 141
  • 6U41-2    McKinley(20)      6    11-3    W P Mullins 141
  • 2620-4    Bentelimar(89)      7    11-2    J R Barry 140
  • 55-944    Plinth(19)      6    11-1    Joseph Patrick O´Brien 139
  • 03-522    Cliff House(14)      6    11-0    John J Walsh 138
  • 1-2136    Curious Carlos(12)      7    11-0    Peter Bowen 138
  • 1U33-4    Hidden Cyclone(16F)      11    10-13    John Joseph Hanlon 137
  • 1343-0    Modem(12F)      6    10-13    Mrs John Harrington 137
  • 217-3    Pyromaniac(16F)     6    10-13    A J Martin 137
  • 2137-2    Rock The World(82F)      8    10-13    Mrs John Harrington 137
  • 0-2133    Ancient Sands(14)      8    10-11    John E Kiely 135
  • 123-65    Moon Over Germany(19)     5    10-11    Edward P Harty 135
  • 2144-4    Tigris River(26)      5    10-11    Joseph Patrick O´Brien 135
  • 24/20-    Silver Concorde(44F)      8    10-10    D K Weld 134
  • 16-106    Tempo Mac(20F)      6    10-10    Gordon Elliott 134
  • 0-2411    Time For Mabel(14)      5    10-10    E J O´Grady 134
  • 2-0022    The Plan Man(25)      6    10-9    Gordon Elliott 133
  • 0-0126    Princely Conn(10F)      7    10-8    Thomas Mullins 132
  • 1-0721    Roman Flight(18)      8    10-8    David Dennis 132
  • 34-722    Desoto County(34)      7    10-7    Gordon Elliott 131
  • 137/5-    Desertmore Stream(144)     8    10-6    Gordon Elliott 130
  • 092-03    Aminabad(46)      6    10-4    Gordon Elliott 128
  • 3132-8    Automated(18F)      5    10-4    Gordon Elliott 128
  • 62125    The Nutcracker(26)      6    10-4    Thomas Gibney 128
  • 31211    Delegate(23)      6    10-3    Gordon Elliott 127
  • 1562-7    Rashaan(19)      4    10-3    Colin Kidd 133
  • U23-12    Chatham House Rule(45)      5    10-2    Gordon Elliott 126
  • 5P-42    Grand Partner(21F)      8    10-2    Thomas Mullins 126
  • 260-10    Winter Lion(14)      6    10-2    Matthew J Smith 126
  • P17-U    Yes Sir Brian(41)      7    10-1    Garrett James Power 125
  • 4-4133    Tocororo(19)      4    9-12    Gordon Elliott 128
  • 8F29-2    Hostile Fire(27F)      5    9-10    Gordon Elliott 120
 
 

Age Trends

9 of the last 10 winners were aged 6 or 7

Qualifiers (9 Points) = Quick Jack, Max Dynamite, McKinley, Bentelimar, Plinth, Cliff House, Curious Carlos, Modem, Pyromaniac, Tempo Mac, The Plan Man, Princely Conn, Desoto County, Aminabad, The Nutcracker, Delegate, Winter Lion & Yes Sir Brian
 

Weight Trends

8 of the last 10 winners carried 10-12 or less

Qualifiers (8 Points) = Ancient Sands, Moon Over Germany, Tigris River, Silver Concorde, Tempo Mac, Time For Mabel, The Plan Man, Princely Conn, Roman Flight, Desoto County, Desertmore Stream, Aminabad, Automated, The Nutcracker, Delegate, Rashaan, Chatham House Rule, Grand Partner, Winter Lion, Yes Sir Brian, Tocororo & Hostile Fire
 

Official Rating Trends

8 of the last 10 winners were rated 136 or less

Qualifiers (8 Points) = Ancient Sands, Moon Over Germany, Tigris River, Silver Concorde, Tempo Mac, Time For Mabel, The Plan Man, Princely Conn, Roman Flight, Desoto County, Desertmore Stream, Aminabad, Automated, The Nutcracker, Delegate, Rashaan, Chatham House Rule, Grand Partner, Winter Lion, Yes Sir Brian, Tocororo & Hostile Fire
 

Last Time Out Trends

8 of the last 10 winners finished in the first 2 on their last start

Qualifiers (8 Points) = Bamako Moriviere, Superb Story, McKinley, Cliff House, Hidden Cyclone, Rock The World, Tempo Mac, Time For Mabel, The Plan Man, Princely Conn, Roman Flight, Desoto County, Delegate, Chatham House Rule, Grand Partner & Hostile Fire

6 of the last 10 winners had their last run in a flat race

Qualifiers (6 Points) = Quick Jack, Clondaw Warrior, Max Dynamite, Hidden Cyclone, Modem, Pyromaniac, Rock The World, Silver Concorde, Tempo Mac, Princely Conn, Automated, Grand Partner & Hostile Fire
 

Last Run Trends

7 of the last 10 winners had their last run in June or July

Qualifiers (7 Points) = Bamako Moriviere, Clondaw Warrior, Max Dynamite, McKinley, Plinth, Cliff House, Curious Carlos, Hidden Cyclone, Modem, Pyromaniac, Ancient Sands, Moon Over Germany, Tigris River, Silver Concorde, Tempo Mac, Time For Mabel, The Plan Man, Princely Conn, Roman Flight, Desoto County, Aminabad, Automated, The Nutcracker, Delegate, Rashaan, Chatham House Rule, Grand Partner, Winter Lion, Yes Sir Brian, Tocororo, Hostile Fire
 

Year Wins Trends

8 of the last 10 winners had won that year

Qualifiers (8 Points) = Bamako Moriviere, Superb Story, Clondaw Warrior, McKinley, Cliff House, Curious Carlos, Hidden Cyclone, Ancient Sands, Tempo Mac, Time For Mabel, Princely Conn, Roman Flight, Automated, The Nutcracker, Delegate, Chatham House Rule, Grand Partner, Winter Lion, Yes Sir Brian, Tocororo & Hostile Fire
 

Distance Trends

8 of the last 10 winners had previously won over further than 2 miles

Qualifiers (8 Points) = Bamako Moriviere, Quick Jack, Superb Story, Clondaw Warrior, Max Dynamite, McKinley, Bentelimar, Plinth, Cliff House, Curious Carlos, Hidden Cyclone, Modem, Pyromaniac, Rock The World, Ancient Sands, Tigris River, Silver Concorde, Tempo Mac, Time For Mabel, Princely Conn, Roman Flight, Desertmore Stream, Aminabad, The Nutcracker, Delegate, Grand Partner, Winter Lion & Tocororo

Trend Results


62    x    Tempo Mac
62    x    Princely Conn

56    x    Delegate

53    x    Grand Partner

48    x    The Nutcracker
48    x    Winter Lion

47    x    Time For Mabel
47    x    Roman Flight

45    x    Hostile Fire

40    x    McKinley
40    x    Cliff House
40    x    The Plan Man
40    x    Desoto County
40    x    Aminabad
40    x    Yes Sir Brian

39    x    Ancient Sands
39    x    Chatham House Rule
39    x    Tocororo 

37    x    Hidden Cyclone
37    x    Silver Concorde
37    x    Automated

32    x    Curious Carlos

31    x    Bamako Moriviere
31    x    Tigris River

30    x    Max Dynamite
30    x    Modem
30    x    Pyromaniac

29    x    Clondaw Warrior

24    x    Superb Story
24    x    Plinth
24    x    Desertmore Stream

23    x    Quick Jack
23    x    Moon Over Germany
23    x    Rashaan

22    x    Rock The World

17    x    Bentelimar

Selections

Tempo Mac & Princely Conn pass every trend used and top score with a maximum of 62 points