Pablo Tips History

Great Tango is a great candidate for this and is preferred to Calgath that has not run this distance. The selection has been runner up on hurdles and the flat on heavy going

Voyal Resurgence is preferred for what shown being runner up on heavy going in its handicap debut. It is likely to win -at the expense of the too loaded Port Moody- or be involved in the top trio.

The selection is used to this heavy going. It is a tempting choice for its odds, the improvement shown in last start and the help of a jockey claim. An EW bet will be wise as Alaykha has been not far from victory when not on standard ground.

Invincible Queen has to be picked for its excellent win on last start at Gowran on ground similar to today's one. Then it had Harry Speed and Ask Katie well beaten . Why Me can be seen as the enemy of the selection in this list.

The selection showed a powerful attack though finishing runner up on heavy ground in this category in a 12f event. Today's distance was also suitable winning twice in last 4 races. Longing might deserve a speculative bet at current odds @11.

The selection won 2 of last 6 in the distance and also runner up in penultimate race and 5th in higher class in last start . Will probably pay the cost of its travel from UK but the presence of many competitors makes wise the EW choice.

Black Scorpion finished last season well and is back in progressive form. It can land this at the expense of King's Song pulled out in last start and changing trainer. Dorkas will have to deal with and excessive penalty.

Cork has not been lately what it was at the start of the tournament, Derry has also produced unsatisfactory performance winning in last 2 matches only because against teams at the bottom. This makes the result very uncertain and close to draw but both teams have not scored in rare occasions. The worst enemy of this bet would be a speculative draw to nil

In last 3 games Cork won 1 and drew with Dundalk and Bohemians. Derry is in between the latters and has lost with one and won with the other. Cork has beaten Derry home and away this season but that happened before August when Corks outstanding performance went down.

Despite Cork is at home and has beaten Derry h2h twice previously I do not see the home win too easy. After July Cork's excellent performance turns irregular or worst. The draw is the most probable but the away win is not impossible -this bet indeed is to give insurance from that win to my draw bet. While Cork is virtually champion -needs only 1 point- , Derry is still motivated to get an Europa League place.

Last edition champion past the group stage without losing a game so it can be expected to start with the right foot

Toulon and Scarlets were in the same group in last edition of the Cup . Toulon beat Scarlets at home and was just 1 point behind when beaten at Wales. Toulon was 2nd in the group , was beaten in quarter finals. No doubts.

Lisard Lady is worth an EW bet after its interesting triumph on debut beating Darkolva at Down Royal in this distance. Ball Girl is surely an enemy and Quizical looks the best of the rest.

Drogheda United is at the bottom and digging , they have lost last 8 games in a row. Limerick is at the middle of the table and has done well in recent games. Last 3 h2h were won by Limerick making 7 goals and conceding only 1.

The selected outcome is a 100% certainty because they are in very different levels. None of them played in this Cup last year . Bath has beaten past champion of this tournament Saracens at home in September 31-21 for Premiership.

Leinster won this tournament 3 times, in last edition won the group with Montpellier behind 7 points and unbeaten at home. This same match at Leinster finished 57-3 this January

Shamrock form in 6 matches has been the second in the league but Sligo obtained just 1 point less in the period. Anyway last 4 h2hs have been a home win and Sligo's overall record of W2D5L8 can not make us expect nothing but a defeat.

Bohemians won away last h2h at the end of July, from then on they were unbeaten at home W1D2 . Cork has been better but faced trouble lately, losing last 2 away games. So I think no one will want to risk everything in this match and the draw will soon make both happy.

Dundalk -2nd- has been very efficient at home and can be expected to beat Bray -6th- . The host has won last 3 home games to nil scoring 12 goals.